Week 7 of the NFL season is here, and I continue to understand less and less about this league. In a spot where they should have blown up their opponent, Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers fell flat on their face in a 20-18 defeat. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Falcons caught the particular San Francisco 49ers in the middle of an injury storm and romped their own way to a 28-14 win. If someone asked for the story of the NFL season thus far, I would tell them that parity had never been more prevalent. 23 from the league’s 32 teams are within one game of a. 500 record. The bottom line is that we have to take almost every single game with a grain of salt with the way things have been going this year.
Last week was another strong week for the column. All three of the quarterbacks that were recommended as strong plays for the week finished inside the top 13 at the position with Kirk Cousins from the Minnesota Vikings missing the top 12 by just 0. 4 points. As far as the sits of the 7 days go, we were helped out by injuries, but it was a good week overall. P. J. Walker of the Carolina Panthers plus Kenny Pickett of the Pittsburgh Steelers both left early with accidental injuries and finished as QB30 and QB25 respectively. Matthew Stafford of the Los Angeles Rams was the top of that group with a QB18 finish to his name.
Well, it’s finally that time from the year exactly where bye weeks start to kick in which makes your life as a fantasy manager even more difficult. We have four teams on a bye this week. Of the 4 that are on the shelf for that week, three of the four have been top 10 players at their placement, including two of the best three scorers overall. It’s going to be a little more difficult than usual to replace their particular production than some of the other quarterbacks around the league, but it won’t be impossible.
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Here Comes Trouble — QB vs . Pass Rush Matchups
Washington Commanders Pass Speedy vs . Aaron Rodgers
As a Green Bay Packer fan, it’s tough to admit it, but quarterback Aaron Rodgers as well as the offense as a whole just haven’t looked right through their first six games. They’ll put together a good drive or 2 or even a couple of quarters at a time, but they’re not playing complete games right now. Through six online games, using standard fantasy scoring, Rodgers has yet to score more than 16. 88 fantasy points inside a game . Meanwhile, through six video games last season, he had gone over that number in five out of six contests . A major reason for his struggles has been the inconsistency of their offensive line.
Rodgers has been under pressure on 24. 3 percent of his dropbacks, which is the 11th-highest rate in the league . Now, he has a matchup with the Washington Commanders, who, while they have struggled this season, their defensive front continues to be really solid all 12 months. They rank fourth inside sacks and adjusted sack rate . The key battle of the day will be Montez Sweat vs Green Bay’s tackles. Sweat offers three sacks over their last two games, plus, while tackle David Bakhtiari has been strong as a pass blocker, right tackle Elgton Jenkins has been struggling. Until the Green Bay offense proves otherwise, you can’t trust them.
Verdict: Sit ‘Em
New England Patriots Pass Rush versus Justin Fields
You have to start feeling bad for Chicago Bears quarterback Justin Areas at some point. Some of his wounds are self-inflicted, but the guy just hasn’t been set up for success. He has a patchwork offensive collection in front of him, and his pass-catching weapons are one of the worst groups in the NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE. Chicago is tied with regard to last along with 23 carriers allowed, but their adjusted bag rate of 15. seven percent will be 5. four percent worse than any other team. Even on the rare occasions they are dropping back to pass, Fields is getting battered around, to the tune of the 31. 2 percent pressure rate.
Now, the New Britain Patriots are usually hosting Fields on Monday Night Football in a matchup of 2 teams heading in opposite directions. The Patriots are 2-1 in their last 3 with the lone loss being by three on the road in overtime in order to Green Bay. Their defense ranks sixth in adjusted sack rate, and they should have no problem getting after Areas in this one.
Judgement: Sit down ‘Em
Green Bay Packers Complete Rush vs . Taylor Heinicke
This one is each a commentary on the Green Bay pass rush along with their run protection. Green Bay is ninth by DVOA against the complete, but they’re 32nd against the run . In their last three games, teams possess stayed in the game and ultimately won by having the ability to run at will. Washington is 29th in both categories , but you have to imagine, with a backup quarterback under center, they’ll be looking to run more often compared to pass. Against this defense, it makes a lot of sense.
Wa Commanders quarterback Taylor Heinicke played against Green Gulf last time of year and had 268 passing yards to go with one touchdown and one interception. He was also sacked 4 times while running 10 times regarding 95 back yards. Unless Buenos aires plans to revert towards the offense to what they were running last year, Heinicke is likely going to have a low volume passing game that sees your pet come in with a quiet fantasy week.
Verdict: Sit ‘Em
Easy on Sunday Morning – QB vs . Move Rush Matchups
Seattle Seahawks Pass Rush vs . Justin Herbert
One week after failing to throw a touchdown for just the second game associated with his career, I think Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert is in a great bounceback spot. The Seattle Seahawks are in the middle of the particular pack in terms of pass rush, with an modified sack price that ranks 15th within the league. They’re also doing that while blitzing at the 10th-lowest mark in the NFL.
Despite playing without his All-Pro left deal with and All-Pro center, Herbert has been processing and getting rid of the ball to avoid sacks at an excellent clip. The particular Chargers’ 3. 5 percent altered sack rate ranks second in the NFL, and he’s been sacked just seven times inside six games. Seattle is usually 10th in average fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks , and they just don’t quite have the horses to slow down Herbert yet.
Decision: Start ‘Em
Detroit Lions Pass Rush versus Dak Prescott
This play could be very interesting. Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott is expected to play recently after missing the last four games having a thumb injury. He practiced in a limited capacity upon Wednesday, and there are some concerns that he could be rushing back. However , within a matchup with the Detroit Lions, it’s one of the easier matchups he’ll have all season. His offensive range has also been solid in his absence with the fifth-best adjusted sack rate league wide.
The Lions have been explosive on offense, but they have got struggled on defense. They are last within the league within sacks, plus 28th in adjusted bag rate. By DVOA, they rank 32nd against the move and 31st against the operate. Essentially, teams are able to move the golf ball at will on them right now. Dak should be able to get to work earlier and have a smooth reintegration process as the group starts to push into the middle weeks of their schedule.
Verdict: Start ‘Em
Carolina Panthers Pass Hurry vs . Mary Brady
Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady had an absolutely brutal loss in 7 days 6, yet he’s poised to rebound in Week 7 contrary to the Carolina Panthers. For all of the heat that he throws the way of his offensive series, they’ve truly not been that terrible. He’s only been sacked nine times this season, and they rank following in stress rate allowed along with becoming tied intended for 10th in the number of occasions he’s already been hit. Just looking at the numbers, whilst they haven’t been great running the particular ball, I don’t know why he’s so mad in them when it comes to passing the ball.
The Panthers have been in a free fall right now, and there doesn’t seem to be a clear end in sight. Despite boasting Brian Burns and a number of other highly drafted players on defense, the Panthers rank 29th in adjusted sack price and tied for 29th in carriers. Maybe they are getting pressure but not converting it into actual sacks? Nope. They rank 25th in stress rate and in the bottom half of the little league in hurry and knockdown rate. A lot of arrows are usually pointing up for Brady immediately.
Consensus: Start ‘Em
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